On January 10, at the Innovation Workshop "Artificial Intelligence Strategy Outlook", Kai-Fu Lee (microblogging) said that artificial intelligence is the largest field in human history, surpassing the Internet, and that driverlessness will become the most subversive of the human world. technology.
Kai-Fu Lee recalled that in the past year, the innovation workshop was a very big year of transformation and financing. A total of 300 million US dollars was added, plus the second phase of 2.5 billion yuan. The financing amount in the past year exceeded all the financing in the previous six years. .
Li Kaifu said that there are about three areas in which innovative workshops focus on investment, namely artificial intelligence, culture and entertainment.
He believes that artificial intelligence is the largest field in human history and will generate value in various fields. Half of human ordinary work will be replaced by machines, and in some low-minded work, even 90% of work will be replaced. "If we don't go through any work, more than five seconds of thinking, we can't do it."
How to do artificial intelligence? Li Kaifu gives four elements: first pick a field, then collect a lot of data, and this data is labeled and accurate; second you have to buy a lot of machines; third you Look for a very powerful scientist; fourth, you have to educate a group of people to use this thing, and the value is produced.
For unmanned driving, Kai-fu Lee believes that it is not a decade to replace humanity, but now that semi-unmanned driving has taken place. Now is the golden age of unmanned driving. Unmanned driving will become the most subversive of the world. technology.
Li Kaifu specifically pointed out that China has unique opportunities for artificial intelligence, and he gave six reasons:
1. Chinese people are suitable for artificial intelligence, and 43% of artificial intelligence authors are Li Youhua/Chinese;
2. Chinese young people are good at mathematics and willing to pursue "hot industries", and they can quickly train a large number of "artificial intelligence engineers' army";
3. Unlike developed countries such as the United States, the “non-artificial intelligence†technology of traditional Chinese enterprises is very weak and can easily be defeated by AI;
4. The application of the Chinese big market to the C round requires artificial intelligence, such as Mito, Zhihu, VIPKid, etc.;
5. The world's leading American artificial intelligence company is difficult to succeed in China. Just like the Internet field, local companies have the advantage to succeed in the country;
6. China has less constraints on artificial intelligence, and policies are conducive to the development of artificial intelligence. The society is less entangled in privacy.
Kai-Fu Lee also mentioned the Mobike bicycle. He thinks this is a product that is very sentimental, technical, and then interesting and easy to use. Although many people doubt some of its business models, he thinks its business model is feasible. It is also a small number of O2O projects that can be profitable.
The following AI generation (tencentAI) collated with Li Kaifu's speech:Kai-fu Lee: Every time I seem to return to Beijing, the air will get better. My lung capacity is still quite big, so I can help you suck some smog.
Today, as a new year's beginning, we have some interesting things to share with you. As an innovative workshop, of course, our main business is to be a fund manager. It is a VC. Many of us may think that we are a very early one. Investors, even incubators, of course, we also have incubations, but from the scale of our fund, we are already an absolute VC early investment company, our investment is the most common, and the investment is the most common, it should be For a case of about four or five million dollars, the investment quota may be four or five million dollars. That is to say, about A round, and sometimes even to the B round. I think this is very suitable for our technical investors. A good angel case will still vote, but in the future, when you want to classify, or give awards, consider us as a DC, it is still pretty good.
Innovation Workshop 2016The past year has been a very big year for us to transform and finance. In this year, we have integrated a total of 300 million US dollars, plus 2.5 billion yuan, which means that the amount of financing in the past year has exceeded all of our previous six years. Financing, because we saw that our early operation proved that we are a very good investor, brought a good return, and also entered a transformation like A round, plus domestic good. The top case, the value is indeed improving, because whether it is the traditional mobile Internet, because the market has become bigger, or the emerging technology and entertainment type, because it is very sought after, in fact, the valuation is also improving, although seeing many so-called The market is cold, but in these areas we follow, we don’t actually see the cold winter. Entrepreneurs are still very popular in the top areas.
So now the total amount of our entire management is about 8 billion yuan, so this financing has basically come to an end, we are now focused on the investment work and new business can do well. Now many people say that they still take the US dollar or take the RMB. Our answer is yes. We must have a US dollar in our hands to invest in long-term cases. Because the US dollar cycle will be longer, we must have more RMB in our hands, because now many entrepreneurs Those who want to get the renminbi.
In fact, we think this should be an honor. Some projects are suitable for the renminbi. Some projects are suitable for the US dollar. However, the current market situation is that too many entrepreneurs want to take the renminbi. Of course, we play a neutral role. It is to prepare a lot of money for both currencies, and what currency the entrepreneur wants to give us.
Today we don't talk too much about the details. It may be particularly well-known in the industry. There are probably three areas that are considered to be top-notch, namely artificial intelligence, culture and entertainment, and education.
If you don't know, you may want to focus on it today. At the beginning of the innovation workshop, the most famous one is that our first VC saw the trend of mobile Internet smart phones, and made one, put all the investment amount In the mobile Internet, it also proved that our eyes were right at the time. After that, we invested in many other fields. Now we can have the most differentiated ones. One should be cultural entertainment. The opportunities we see in culture and entertainment are nine. After the fifth, then what we saw was the decline of TV media and the rise of the corresponding Internet media, as well as the future of personalization and interaction, as well as the rise of new media platforms in the future. These are the ones we have seen. Some phenomenal things, including the content of our investment after the Ninth Five-Year Plan, Mi Wei Media, Qi Wei said, let us fall in love, run away comics, have demon, these are the content sought after after the Ninth Five-Year.
Then there are some very good interactive content and platforms. It also forms a platform for girls to be famous in Hollywood, perhaps to have a plate, a guest role, but if you are famous in China, there is SNH48.
Then there is a special well-known thing that knows, it knows that it really only survives, and it is a company at the unicorn level, but it is the only one. It is really the trend of this high-end crowd, not the rural surrounding city. We also very much hope that it can verify that such a model is feasible in China after its growth.
We may see that Weibo is getting more and more hot now, so it is actually a phenomenon like Weibo, the latest knowledge, and some places for gossip.
Second, online education, because any trend is coming up, we will have an investment strategy. In Internet education, we see that there are four things happening. The first one is that the Internet has changed the number of visitors. The way, the second one can be more interesting through the Internet, the last personalized self-confidence learning, we have invested in several education companies are now very famous.
There are many other companies, as well as some tools for robot education. We believe that the Internet can really improve education to help education and strengthen education. We are working with Tintin to do business-level cooperation. This is also an area we are investing in. We have listened a lot to the consumption upgrade. We are more typical here, including me. We have done a good job in this field.
In terms of project progress, there may be several relatively large events in the past year.
One is the listing of Mito, making the choice of Hong Kong stocks very interesting and has great value opportunities for the entire Internet industry.
The second mention is that it is also moving very fast towards the unicorn.
The third is the concept of special fire, Mobike and some other companies. We believe that we are a very emotional, technical, and interesting and easy to use product, and many people doubt its business model. We can actually see that its business model is feasible, and then this is a really few O2O projects that can be profitable.
Also despise the company, Molbase, looking for compounds should be a more technical area. The layout is very good, and the baby has recently reached tens of millions of dollars in profits. Seeing so many benign developments in the winter of the Internet, we are still very, very proud of our achievements. In addition to our presence in Beijing, Shanghai, and Silicon Valley, we are now also headquartered in South China in South China. Now it is the Venture Plaza in Shenzhen.
We have very good people to join us. Our investment team has recently increased by four or five. Our post-investment department has also recently joined the CMO, which we just introduced ourselves. Now we are officially connected to CMO Anita, who just joined the company. Xiong Wei, who was previously in Jun Lian Capital and Tongchuang Weiye Venture Capital, was very good and very experienced. In addition, we have several investment director investment managers, and we will have the opportunity to communicate with you in the future.
Li Kaifu's View of Artificial IntelligenceThen I want to introduce the artificial intelligence in depth.
In the investment fields I just talked about, we are all actively proceeding, but our most important investment area is our artificial intelligence. In fact, I have already done several lectures this year, which may be faster today. Take it with you.
Recently, with the Master defeating 60 masters of Go on the Internet, let us see that it is no longer necessary to discuss Go. There is no hope for human beings. Human beings have been left behind by machines, but what does this actually bring? It is a particularly big opportunity, because Go itself is not the greatest commercial value, but after being able to defeat all human beings, we see that artificial intelligence will generate value in various fields. To a certain extent, human ordinary work will be replaced by machines.
We can say that 50% of the work will be replaced by artificial intelligence, especially in these areas, even 90% of the work will be replaced. If we do not pass any work, more than five seconds of thinking, we can do it. The machine, and not that it can not beat us, but it must leave us far behind.
For example, if we do face recognition, can a guard identify 500,000 faces? But the machine we invested in can.
Can a driver drive 200 million miles? So with a particularly large amount of data and learning, in a narrow field, the machine has thrown us far away.
Of course, humans still have a lot of other things that the machine won't do, but if you pick a field to do one thing and then have a huge amount of data, then people are not opponents of the machine at all, then these machines are not tired, will not Strikes, no emotions, no mistakes, so their mass production and replacement of some simple work will happen constantly, then from an investor's point of view, every such machine is creating New value.
When we go back to see artificial intelligence, it can actually be sixty years ago. The word artificial intelligence happened sixty years ago. In fact, some people started doing it 30 years ago. Some stupid people made it 30 years ago. Do artificial intelligence, but it is too early, but we can see that there have been a lot of progress in the past three or five years, including driverless, including robots, and now Google (microblogging) E-maill can automatically help you Recovery, the online soldier, someone talked with the soldier for nine hours, the progress is very big. Of course, today's young people are very fortunate. Now they are doing artificial intelligence, but unfortunately, I have done artificial intelligence earlier. I just said that artificial intelligence was made 30 years ago.
Because of the artificial intelligence, we have completely broken through human performance from image recognition, face recognition and speech recognition, and have broken through all the past algorithm performance. Then when such a technology surpasses people, it can replace us, so when face recognition and recognition of people more than people, a lot of security work is not needed, when speech recognition exceeds people's At the time, the customer service work is not needed, or part of the sales work is not needed, and gradually these replacements and value will begin to be discovered.
For example, if we look at driverlessness, although many young people have this, but now it is a golden age of driverlessness. If you want to pick one, it will overturn the technology of the existing world, just as big as the mobile Internet. We don't want to talk about artificial intelligence, because the field of artificial intelligence is mostly. Artificial intelligence is the largest field in human history. We just pick one driverless, and this field is just like the mobile Internet.
Why do you say this? Because all our habits will be subverted. The first one we can predict is that driverless will help us drive, we will help it drive, and finally it will drive us to avoid anything. This process is An inevitable process, because this is a particularly large, huge big data, and then it can be learned.
The second unmanned driving is not to say that it will take ten years to replace humans, but now that semi-unmanned driving has taken place, such as in scenic spots, airports, golf courses, for example, why can we not add some sensors to make the roads become It’s smarter, so there’s no such thing as driving in the car, because the road will tell you, I’m the road, it’s a car, and this feedback can tell the car.
Later, we talked about the many functions of the Internet of Things, which can be achieved by driverlessness. For example, we can, first we don’t have to buy a car, the cars are all leased, all are drip-type, the first Second, the sharing economy, unmanned driving will happen at the same time. Third, once it happens, we need the car at any time. It will appear in front of us, and it will not be too big. When one goes out, take one person’s car and two people go out. Just take two people's cars, don't waste money now, and the car will appear when you need it.
Then once the car starts to be unmanned, then you can talk to each other, an unmanned car and another unmanned car, I have a puncture, so that there will be no accident, or when you are in a hurry When I was at work, one car said to another car, my master was anxious to go to work, you let me give you two cents, the parking lot is not needed, all the cars should run, all of us Value will be activated, the air will be better, and time will be saved.
Of course, a company like Didi is very eager to replace the driver. It costs a penny for every dollar of income. When you take the driver off, it goes from a company that has lost money to a company that makes huge money. There is a particularly large economic incentive for him to advance this field. And car companies all over the world are in production. Has anyone heard that any car company says it will take another twenty-five years?
When this all happens, five years, ten years later, his new technology will force all kinds of fields, such as robots, when the car can listen to see the dynamic, these same techniques are also applied to the robot. It will have a particularly big change for our entire family industry, etc., so it is particularly optimistic about this.
Well, this artificial intelligence, now our investment in innovative workshops may be four years ago, because I personally do artificial intelligence, our entire team is a very technical team, but now it is not our family that is supposed to do artificial intelligence, And the most authoritative Chinese government, the US government, the European Union, and Japan have already promoted artificial intelligence as the most important technology. It will generate huge economic value, and the technology giants have gathered together to discuss how we are responsible. Doing artificial intelligence does not hurt humans.
The reason why Google is doing this company is to a certain extent, to integrate its artificial intelligence into a Google brain, use it to do various fields of health, finance, automobile, medical care, etc., and then generate twenty-six like Google. How do artificial intelligence do the same for a valuable company?
I think there are several elements. The first one is that you have to pick a field and then collect a lot of data, and the data is labeled and accurate. Second, you have to buy a lot of machines. Third, you need to find a very powerful scientist. Fourth, you have to educate a group of people to use this thing, and the value is generated.
Advantages of Chinese AI researchTherefore, the artificial intelligence entrepreneurship is very different from the mobile Internet startup. The mobile Internet startup is low-cost. The cost of artificial intelligence entrepreneurship is very expensive. We talked about 7 years ago that the entrepreneurial cost reached a new high in the artificial intelligence field. But China actually has many opportunities. This picture is done by Wang Weigang, the deputy dean of our engineering institute. Then he did a search and saw that the contribution of Chinese in the AI ​​field has grown rapidly in the past, from ten years ago. A quarter of the present is almost half of the world's high-quality artificial intelligence papers, so we have many opportunities in China. Although the cost of starting a business is high, scientists are scarce, but here is artificial intelligence in China. benefit.
The first advantage is that Chinese mathematics is very powerful, and the papers are many, so these experts can find them.
The second young student runs training. There is a special important feature of artificial intelligence. You only need to give me a mathematical genius. Half a year will allow him to generate value in artificial intelligence and be a valuable artificial intelligence engineer. Training is especially important, but the premise is that mathematics is better, but fortunately, Chinese mathematics is good.
The technology of the third traditional enterprise is relatively weak, and it is already difficult before artificial intelligence comes, but it is relatively easy for domestic banks, so give us more opportunities for artificial intelligence entrepreneurship.
The fourth lot has a big market in China. There are many unicorns in the big market. One day, the unicorn suddenly discovered that I have never turned data into data. What do I need artificial intelligence? Then they will hire a large number of artificial intelligence and engineers. To help us invest in becoming an artificial intelligence company, so every big data company will become an artificial intelligence company, so China has more opportunities. Although the United States is now ahead of China, the technology of American companies is difficult to introduce to China.
In the last example, China has fewer constraints on artificial intelligence.
We are very optimistic about these areas. The first big data field, we are most optimistic, the most frictionless, the fast-growing is the financial sector, and the second is the most meaningful medical field that can save lives. You are already an internet company, and your data is of course better.
From a perceptual point of view, we are very recognized for this recognition of everything, very optimistic, so this face recognition, gesture recognition, speech recognition is very fast, and it is subversive beyond humans. But for natural language understanding, this still takes time, estimated to be 7 to 10 years.
Further development, the sensor is a problem, why is it so expensive to drive, that is, the sensor is too expensive, but with the mass production of driverless and robot, this will definitely come down. From the robot point of view, we feel that the family robot will be slower, but industry, business can make money, and finally expressed a very optimistic view of driverless.
Innovation Workshop Artificial Intelligence Research InstituteTherefore, the Innovation Workshop has announced the engineering institute of artificial intelligence in the past three months. Today, there are some initial scales. Then we would like to introduce what the Academy of Engineering is doing. Here we can see our artificial intelligence layout. It is divided into two parts in the industry. On the right, as a VC, do venture capital. This is the same as other VCs. We look for projects that have already been formed, and we help them achieve greater success.
However, domestic mature entrepreneurship has almost created the creation. In the past three or four months, fewer and fewer top projects have been seen. It takes time to train the next batch, because artificial intelligence mobile Internet is still not the same, artificial intelligence must be needed. Scientists, and scientists may not be able to bring engineers out, so the so-called incubation model may not be needed in many areas, non-existent, worthless, who needs to incubate a mobile Internet company?
However, in the field of artificial intelligence, these scientists are particularly strong in their field, but they have insufficient experience in business, product mining, engineer management, and productization. Therefore, we believe that artificial intelligence has a very special The incubation opportunity, in simple terms, is that we have to bring the top scientists into the engineering institute of the innovation workshop, let them explore the opportunity, because artificial intelligence entrepreneurship is very expensive, but we help you solve the expensive things, we buy machines, take Data, providing business awareness, helping them recruit engineers, and enabling them to start faster, this is what AI Engineering does.
From the companies we invest in, we return to the investment projects we just talked about. There are a lot of companies we invest in, which should represent the most complete and at least the most complete AI investment in China.
Then the engineering institute started about 3 months ago, we gradually recruited, then we are looking for technical experts, with young engineers in the cluster to provide a large number of data partners, industry experience to enable them to incubate into good projects In order to incubate the project, the factory will take up some shares, and then give the factory funds, and of course, the industry's friends to invest in these projects. We believe that we can engage more scientists in entrepreneurship through such an incubation mechanism.
Of course, there is training for these engineers, as well as more training, so that more young people can participate and understand, then in the AI ​​innovation and entrepreneurship, in terms of talent cultivation, we are in Peking University, Tsinghua University, Shanghai Jiaotong University They are beginning to cooperate and are also attracting some summer jobs, including amateur work, and they are involved in such an area when they are studying.
Below we will introduce four early technical talents in our innovation workshop. The first is our vice president Wang Yigang, who graduated from Peking University.
The second is Wang Jiaping, who is also our vice president. He is a doctor of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and a researcher at Microsoft. I have seen many articles about him. Shen Xiangyang said that Jiaping is one of his favorite students. These two are our vice presidents.
There are also two senior people, Shi Xiaotong, and the last one is Zhong Dawei. These four are our senior engineering and doctoral teams, and you will hear their opinions and perceptions of AI from their mouths later.
We also have recruitment, industry cooperation, and our investment team will also work part-time. You can see that education, driverless, finance, quantum computing, and digital marketing are all very good. The AI ​​application also includes a team from the US and is also a Google engineer.
Now that AI is a very hard-tech technology-based startup, we think it gives us a particularly good opportunity to develop our strengths. Thank you.
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