China Mobile’s top executives revealed in February that 4G commercial promotion was faster than expected, and 100 city coverage plans will be realized three months ahead of schedule, with the number of cities covered at the end of the year increasing to 344. After China Mobile and China Telecom launched 4G commercial, China Unicom has also launched 4G commercialization and increased network construction in key cities in China. At the same time as operators accelerate the promotion, domestic mobile phone manufacturers have also launched 4G mobile phones.
The 4G promotion speed exceeded expectations, and it is expected to make the operator's investment progress ahead of schedule this year. In particular, following China Mobile, China Telecom has launched the 4G package tariff standard and released the first Tianyi 4G package tariff standard, which will initially provide services in nearly 100 cities. It is understood that since the FDD license has not been issued, the service is currently TD-LTE.
Plus China Unicom also officially launched 4G business. The three major operators are actively making efforts. With the development of 4G, relevant data shows that the scale of information consumption in China will grow rapidly in the next three years. By 2015, the scale of information consumption will exceed 3.2 trillion yuan, with an average annual growth rate of over 20%. Drive new industries to output more than 1.2 trillion yuan.
Research institutions generally believe that after the issuance of 4G licenses, investment in various segments of 4G in 2014 is expected to break out, bringing important development opportunities to relevant manufacturers. 4G network construction mainly includes such concepts from the downstream to the upstream: site survey, engineering services, engine room power, wireless site support, main equipment, network testing, indoor optimization coverage, network support and business systems.
In fact, since 2013, both the State Council executive meeting and the Third Plenary Session of the 18th Central Committee have promoted 4G development as the main engine for information consumption. Information consumption has been pushed by Premier Li Keqiang and is considered by the media to be an important part of Li Keqiang's economics. Therefore, the accelerated 4G shows the strategic intention of the central management to actively guide China's 4G development, promote the information consumption market, and promote economic transformation and upgrading.
From a technical point of view, 4G is the abbreviation of the fourth generation mobile communication technology standard. Under this standard, the speed of mobile Internet access is 10 times faster than 3G, and the download speed will reach 100Mbps. At this speed, download a HD blockbuster in just a few minutes. If 2G to 3G is the qualitative change of "mobile phone is not online" to "can be online at any time", then 3G to 4G is from slow to fast, and the difference is good. In other words, now users like to do things on the computer. In the 4G era, users will gradually get used to doing it on mobile phones, such as downloading music, playing games, bank transfer, shopping, etc.
Authoritative departments and agencies such as the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the Chinese Academy of Sciences predict that the investment scale of the 4G network will be around 500 billion yuan. After the network is officially commercialized, it will also drive upstream and downstream industries such as terminal manufacturing and software. The industry scale will be expected to exceed one trillion yuan. turn off. Guotai Junan believes that in the next three years, the amount of 4G investment is likely to exceed 300 billion yuan.
Under the 4G drive, the overall capital expenditure of the three major operators in 2014 is expected to exceed expectations. Among them, China Mobile's management clearly stated that the number of China Mobile's 4G storage base stations will reach 500,000 by the end of 2014. In 2014, the base station equipment procurement scale will exceed 30 billion yuan. China Mobile's 4G construction progress and investment in 2014 exceeded market expectation. At the same time, driven by competition, after 4G licensing, China Telecom and China Unicom are also bound to accelerate the progress of 4G construction. Changjiang Securities judged that the investment of the three major operators on the 4G network will increase significantly in 2014. Under this drive, the overall capital expenditure growth rate of the industry is expected to exceed market expectations.
Operators will increase their 4G capital expenditures, which will drive the related investment to grow substantially and benefit the 4G related industry chain. For example, the wireless communication equipment industry related to the construction of base stations continues to be deterministic; the wireless main equipment as the focus of 4G investment will be expected to continue the high growth trend, and the market demand for supporting transmission network equipment will continue upward; in addition, considering the 4G frequency band High, signal penetration is weak, 4G construction will also lead to greater demand for network optimization, and the network optimization industry is expected to usher in the turning point of industry demand.
However, at present, China's economy is in the initial stage of transition to consumption. The construction of domestic 4G network has just begun, and the upgrade of electronic consumption led by 4G will become the engine of economic demand.
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